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Co-Authored-By: Claudio Moroni <[email protected]> Co-Authored-By: Pietro Monticone <[email protected]>
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Asymptomatic_Fraction_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper | ||
, Home, 0.28, 0.18, 0.38 | ||
, ocial, 0.35, 0.16, 0.55 | ||
, Work, 0.36, 0.13, 0.60 | ||
, All, 0.36, 0.27, 0.45 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Asymptomatic_Symptomatic_Ratio_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper | ||
, Home, 0.39, 0.23, 0.62 | ||
, Social, 0.58, 0.20, 1.20 | ||
, Work, 0.61, 0.15, 1.47 | ||
, All, 0.57, 0.36, 0.83 |
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Sex,Age,Mean,95%CI_Lower,95%CI_Upper | ||
All,0-14,0.000,0.000,0.128 | ||
All,15-19,0.000,0.000,0.522 | ||
All,20-39,0.000,0.000,0.062 | ||
All,40-59,0.008,0.000,0.043 | ||
All,60-69,0.015,0.000,0.082 | ||
All,70-79,0.130,0.049,0.263 | ||
All,80+,0.109,0.036,0.236 | ||
Female,All,0.020,0.005,0.050 | ||
Male,All,0.051,0.024,0.095 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Critical_Fraction/Critical_Fraction_ECDC.csv
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Prior_Mean, Lower_Bound, Upper_Bound | ||
1, 0.2, 2 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Critical_Fraction/Critical_Fraction_Zardini.csv
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Sex, Age, Mean, 95%CI_Lower, 95%CI_Upper | ||
All,0-14,0.000,0.000,0.026 | ||
All,15-19,0.000,0.000,0.161 | ||
All,20-39,0.009,0.001,0.033 | ||
All,40-59,0.006,0.001,0.020 | ||
All,60-69,0.011,0.001,0.038 | ||
All,70-79,0.050,0.018,0.105 | ||
All,80+,0.068,0.023,0.153 | ||
Female,All,0.008,0.003,0.020 | ||
Male,All,0.023,0.012,0.039 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Home_Testing_Fraction_ECDC.csv
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Prior_Mean, Lower_Bound, Upper_Bound | ||
0.05, NA, NA |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/PCR_Positive_Infected_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper | ||
, Home, 0.85, 0.74, 0.94 | ||
, Social, 0.75, 0.52, 0.93 | ||
, Work, 0.66, 0.41, 0.90 | ||
, All, 0.79, 0.68, 0.88 |
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper | ||
, Home, 0.84, 0.79, 0.89 | ||
, Social, 0.71, 0.63, 0.79 | ||
, Work, 0.65, 0.54, 0.75 | ||
, All, 0.75, 0.70, 0.79 |
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper | ||
, Home, 0.30, 0.28, 0.32 | ||
, Social, 0.12, 0.11, 0.13 | ||
, Work, 0.09, 0.08, 0.10 | ||
, All, 0.15, 0.14, 0.16 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Serology_Positive_Infected_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper | ||
, Home, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00 | ||
, Social, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00 | ||
, Work, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00 | ||
, All, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00 |
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Prior_Mean, Lower_Bound, Upper_Bound | ||
1, 0.2, 2 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Susceptibility/Susceptibility_Consensus_Davies.csv
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Age,Susceptibility_Mean,Susceptibility_Quantile_2.5%,Susceptibility_Quantile_25%,Susceptibility_Quantile_50%,Susceptibility_Quantile_75%,Susceptibility_Quantile_97.5% | ||
0–9,0.40,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.57 | ||
10-19, 0.38, 0.27, 0.33, 0.38,0.42,0.53 | ||
20-29, 0.79, 0.59, 0.72, 0.79,0.86,0.96 | ||
30-39, 0.86, 0.69, 0.81, 0.87,0.92,0.98 | ||
40-49, 0.80, 0.61, 0.74, 0.80,0.86,0.96 | ||
50–59, 0.82, 0.63, 0.76, 0.82,0.88,0.97 | ||
60–69, 0.88, 0.70, 0.83, 0.89,0.93,0.99 | ||
≥70, 0.74, 0.56, 0.68, 0.74, 0.80,0.90 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Susceptibility/Susceptibility_Hu.csv
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Age,Mean | ||
0-14,0.58 | ||
15-64,1 | ||
65+,1.65 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Susceptibility/Susceptibility_Marziano.txt
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Susceptibility/Susceptibility_Zhang.csv
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Age , Regression_Model , OR_Mean, OR_95%CI_Lower, OR_95%CI_Upper, p_value | ||
0-14 , GLMM, 0.34, 0.24, 0.49, <0.0001 | ||
15-64 , GLMM, 1 , , , | ||
65+ , GLMM, 1.47, 1.12, 1.92, 0.0045 | ||
Unknown, GLMM, 0.42, 0.17, 0.90, 0.0413 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Symptomatic_Uninfected_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper | ||
, Home, 0.26, 0.24, 0.29 | ||
, Social, 0.17, 0.15, 0.19 | ||
, Work, 0.21, 0.18, 0.25 | ||
, All, 0.20, 0.18, 0.22 |
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## Transmissibility Estimates | ||
|
||
| File | References | | ||
| :---- | :---- | | ||
| [Transmissibility_Ng](https://github.com/InPhyT/ComputationalEpidemiologyProject/blob/main/Data/CSV/2020/Parameters/Transition_Rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_Ng.csv) | [Ng et al. (02-11-2020)](https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7) | | ||
| [Transmissibility_ECDC](https://github.com/InPhyT/ComputationalEpidemiologyProject/blob/main/Data/CSV/2020/Parameters/Transition_Rates/Transmissibility_ECDC.csv) | [ECDC (23-11-2020)](https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/covid-forecasts-modelling-november-2020.pdf) | | ||
| [Transmissibility_Setting_Thompson](https://github.com/InPhyT/ComputationalEpidemiologyProject/blob/main/Data/CSV/2020/Parameters/Transition_Rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_Setting_Thompson.csv) | [Thompson et al. (09-02-2021)](https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab100) | | ||
| [Transmissibility_Status_Thompson](https://github.com/InPhyT/ComputationalEpidemiologyProject/blob/main/Data/CSV/2020/Parameters/Transition_Rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_Status_Thompson.csv) | [Thompson et al. (09-02-2021)](https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab100) | |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_Davies.csv
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Age, Mean | ||
0-4, 0.61 | ||
5-10, 0.61 | ||
11-17, 0.61 | ||
18-29, 0.64 | ||
30-39, 0.67 | ||
40-49, 0.70 | ||
50-59, 0.75 | ||
60-69, 0.82 | ||
70+, 0.85 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_ECDC.csv
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Prior_Mean, Lower_Bound, Upper_Bound | ||
0.05, 0.01, 0.1 |
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data/parameters/transition-rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_Marziano.csv
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Mean,95%CI_Lower,95%CI_Upper | ||
0.0148, 0.0126, 0.0167 |
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