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Co-Authored-By: Claudio Moroni <[email protected]>
Co-Authored-By: Pietro Monticone <[email protected]>
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3 people committed Jan 18, 2023
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132 changes: 132 additions & 0 deletions data/parameters/README.md

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5 changes: 5 additions & 0 deletions data/parameters/transition-rates/Asymptomatic_Fraction_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper
, Home, 0.28, 0.18, 0.38
, ocial, 0.35, 0.16, 0.55
, Work, 0.36, 0.13, 0.60
, All, 0.36, 0.27, 0.45
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper
, Home, 0.39, 0.23, 0.62
, Social, 0.58, 0.20, 1.20
, Work, 0.61, 0.15, 1.47
, All, 0.57, 0.36, 0.83
10 changes: 10 additions & 0 deletions data/parameters/transition-rates/CFR/CFR_Zardini.csv
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Sex,Age,Mean,95%CI_Lower,95%CI_Upper
All,0-14,0.000,0.000,0.128
All,15-19,0.000,0.000,0.522
All,20-39,0.000,0.000,0.062
All,40-59,0.008,0.000,0.043
All,60-69,0.015,0.000,0.082
All,70-79,0.130,0.049,0.263
All,80+,0.109,0.036,0.236
Female,All,0.020,0.005,0.050
Male,All,0.051,0.024,0.095
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Prior_Mean, Lower_Bound, Upper_Bound
1, 0.2, 2
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Sex, Age, Mean, 95%CI_Lower, 95%CI_Upper
All,0-14,0.000,0.000,0.026
All,15-19,0.000,0.000,0.161
All,20-39,0.009,0.001,0.033
All,40-59,0.006,0.001,0.020
All,60-69,0.011,0.001,0.038
All,70-79,0.050,0.018,0.105
All,80+,0.068,0.023,0.153
Female,All,0.008,0.003,0.020
Male,All,0.023,0.012,0.039
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Prior_Mean, Lower_Bound, Upper_Bound
0.05, NA, NA
5 changes: 5 additions & 0 deletions data/parameters/transition-rates/PCR_Positive_Infected_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper
, Home, 0.85, 0.74, 0.94
, Social, 0.75, 0.52, 0.93
, Work, 0.66, 0.41, 0.90
, All, 0.79, 0.68, 0.88
5 changes: 5 additions & 0 deletions data/parameters/transition-rates/PCR_Symptomatic_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper
, Home, 0.84, 0.79, 0.89
, Social, 0.71, 0.63, 0.79
, Work, 0.65, 0.54, 0.75
, All, 0.75, 0.70, 0.79
5 changes: 5 additions & 0 deletions data/parameters/transition-rates/Serology_Fraction_Ng.csv
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper
, Home, 0.30, 0.28, 0.32
, Social, 0.12, 0.11, 0.13
, Work, 0.09, 0.08, 0.10
, All, 0.15, 0.14, 0.16
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper
, Home, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00
, Social, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00
, Work, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00
, All, 0.98, 0.96, 1.00
2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions data/parameters/transition-rates/Severe_Fraction_ECDC.csv
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Prior_Mean, Lower_Bound, Upper_Bound
1, 0.2, 2
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Age,Susceptibility_Mean,Susceptibility_Quantile_2.5%,Susceptibility_Quantile_25%,Susceptibility_Quantile_50%,Susceptibility_Quantile_75%,Susceptibility_Quantile_97.5%
0–9,0.40,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.57
10-19, 0.38, 0.27, 0.33, 0.38,0.42,0.53
20-29, 0.79, 0.59, 0.72, 0.79,0.86,0.96
30-39, 0.86, 0.69, 0.81, 0.87,0.92,0.98
40-49, 0.80, 0.61, 0.74, 0.80,0.86,0.96
50–59, 0.82, 0.63, 0.76, 0.82,0.88,0.97
60–69, 0.88, 0.70, 0.83, 0.89,0.93,0.99
≥70, 0.74, 0.56, 0.68, 0.74, 0.80,0.90
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Age,Mean
0-14,0.58
15-64,1
65+,1.65

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Age , Regression_Model , OR_Mean, OR_95%CI_Lower, OR_95%CI_Upper, p_value
0-14 , GLMM, 0.34, 0.24, 0.49, <0.0001
15-64 , GLMM, 1 , , ,
65+ , GLMM, 1.47, 1.12, 1.92, 0.0045
Unknown, GLMM, 0.42, 0.17, 0.90, 0.0413
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Distribution, Setting, Mean, 95%_CI_Lower, 95%_CI_Upper
, Home, 0.26, 0.24, 0.29
, Social, 0.17, 0.15, 0.19
, Work, 0.21, 0.18, 0.25
, All, 0.20, 0.18, 0.22
8 changes: 8 additions & 0 deletions data/parameters/transition-rates/Transmissibility/README.md
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## Transmissibility Estimates

| File | References |
| :---- | :---- |
| [Transmissibility_Ng](https://github.com/InPhyT/ComputationalEpidemiologyProject/blob/main/Data/CSV/2020/Parameters/Transition_Rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_Ng.csv) | [Ng et al. (02-11-2020)](https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7) |
| [Transmissibility_ECDC](https://github.com/InPhyT/ComputationalEpidemiologyProject/blob/main/Data/CSV/2020/Parameters/Transition_Rates/Transmissibility_ECDC.csv) | [ECDC (23-11-2020)](https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/covid-forecasts-modelling-november-2020.pdf) |
| [Transmissibility_Setting_Thompson](https://github.com/InPhyT/ComputationalEpidemiologyProject/blob/main/Data/CSV/2020/Parameters/Transition_Rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_Setting_Thompson.csv) | [Thompson et al. (09-02-2021)](https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab100) |
| [Transmissibility_Status_Thompson](https://github.com/InPhyT/ComputationalEpidemiologyProject/blob/main/Data/CSV/2020/Parameters/Transition_Rates/Transmissibility/Transmissibility_Status_Thompson.csv) | [Thompson et al. (09-02-2021)](https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab100) |
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Age, Mean
0-4, 0.61
5-10, 0.61
11-17, 0.61
18-29, 0.64
30-39, 0.67
40-49, 0.70
50-59, 0.75
60-69, 0.82
70+, 0.85
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Prior_Mean, Lower_Bound, Upper_Bound
0.05, 0.01, 0.1
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Mean,95%CI_Lower,95%CI_Upper
0.0148, 0.0126, 0.0167
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